Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.100197 0.115759 0.132938 0.153310 0.176814 0.203086 0.234694
2026-01-18 0.075342 0.096160 0.121500 0.154622 0.196805 0.248780 0.317774
2026-01-25 0.060603 0.082929 0.112024 0.152739 0.208304 0.281600 0.385846
2026-02-01 0.049627 0.071871 0.102516 0.147847 0.213301 0.304570 0.441891
2026-02-08 0.043650 0.066396 0.099277 0.150313 0.227691 0.340909 0.519769
2026-02-15 0.038515 0.061211 0.095463 0.150963 0.238866 0.373140 0.594732
2026-02-22 0.034676 0.057361 0.092963 0.152962 0.251853 0.408965 0.678795
2026-03-01 0.030461 0.052288 0.087807 0.149878 0.256027 0.430911 0.742554
2026-03-08 0.027069 0.048100 0.083505 0.147514 0.260819 0.453945 0.810196
2026-03-15 0.024830 0.045584 0.081658 0.149004 0.272159 0.488921 0.902039
2026-03-22 0.023710 0.044900 0.082867 0.155941 0.293773 0.543884 1.035592
2026-03-29 0.022360 0.043613 0.082811 0.160478 0.311359 0.593228 1.164020
2026-04-05 0.020957 0.042097 0.082225 0.164069 0.327804 0.642674 1.299383
2026-04-12 0.019418 0.040136 0.080579 0.165420 0.340069 0.685519 1.426982
2026-04-19 0.017686 0.037573 0.077453 0.163404 0.345260 0.714829 1.530245
2026-04-26 0.015832 0.034537 0.073027 0.158171 0.343142 0.728964 1.603167
2026-05-03 0.014921 0.033394 0.072374 0.160809 0.357922 0.779601 1.760030
2026-05-10 0.013925 0.031949 0.070914 0.161505 0.368497 0.822285 1.904061
2026-05-17 0.013141 0.030882 0.070153 0.163643 0.382469 0.873724 2.073565
2026-05-24 0.012018 0.028909 0.067161 0.160344 0.383600 0.896471 2.178911
2026-05-31 0.011060 0.027216 0.064624 0.157814 0.386227 0.922840 2.295756
2026-06-07 0.010461 0.026321 0.063849 0.159408 0.398894 0.973997 2.478753
2026-06-14 0.010266 0.026397 0.065389 0.166831 0.426667 1.064200 2.769400